男女羞羞视频在线观看,国产精品黄色免费,麻豆91在线视频,美女被羞羞免费软件下载,国产的一级片,亚洲熟色妇,天天操夜夜摸,一区二区三区在线电影
Home / Experts

Who roots for China's "collapse"?

By Robert Lawrence Kuhn (chinadaily.com.cn)

Updated: 2016-02-17 14:21:56

A fallacy of China's slowing GDP growth is using year-on-year percentages as the benchmark. If China's GDP grows at 6.5 percent this year, on a base of almost $11 trillion, the absolute increase (about $700 billion) is roughly double of what it was ten years ago (in 2006, when the economy grew at 12.7 percent). Moreover, because China's population is now only slightly larger, the incremental GDP per capita today is well larger than what it was in those so-called high-growth years. Yet the problem of China's unproductive growth is real, which has lead to overcapacity in industry, housing and infrastructure. China's story is not a simple one.

Who advocates "China's Collapse"? Some economists are pessimistic about China's short-term prospects, but almost none would use the term "collapse". Rather, some of their comments are taken, selectively, by those who have a vested interest in China's "collapse"—book writers of sensationalized doom, political analysts viscerally opposed to China's system of governance, financial short-sellers seeking short-term profits, and the like.

I've been amused that purveyors of the "China Collapse" theory are often also purveyors of the "China Threat" theory. How China could "threaten," which requires power, at the same time it "collapses," which reduces power, is a mystery. Although self-refuting, the threat-collapse nexus reveals a common connection, as "threat" and "collapse" both emanate from a built-in bias towards China. But even as "China Collapse" advocates remain few in number, the idea has gained in prominence. Why?

Two factors drive "China's Collapse" in the public eye. First is not so much that China's economy has become more fragile but that world markets have come to depend too much on China's growth. China is still a developing country and cannot bear the world's burden. Second is that China's increasing clout generates a natural backlash (exemplified by that American worker).

Foreigners exaggerate China—in both directions. "When China was called 'the sick man of Asia,' we weren't so 'sick'," a Chinese minister told me; "and now that foreigners think China is so strong, we aren't so strong." The relevance is direct. Even though China's economy has internal contradictions, like overcapacities, and remains vulnerable to external shocks, like global slowdowns, although China's economy is slowing, it is not collapsing.

Politically, there are no broad, boiling tensions as collapse advocates contend. The vast majority of the Chinese people want social stability, a watchword in China, which is required for increasing standards of living. The Chinese government is exquisitely sensitive to instability and reacts rapidly to even early indicators of unrest. This can lead to stricter regulations, such as in media and social media, but almost everyone would accept the tradeoff.

China's economy will cycle but it won't collapse. I'm sorry if this disappoints a few false prophets, but assuming that people do what is best for them, other than the handful that make their money bashing China, no one should root for China's collapse. China's success is the world's success.

Robert Lawrence Kuhn is a public intellectual, political/economics commentator, and international corporate strategist. He is the host of Closer To China with R.L. Kuhn on CCTV News.

The opinions expressed here are those of the writer and don't represent views of China Daily website.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

主站蜘蛛池模板: 鸡泽县| 邹城市| 应城市| 启东市| 温州市| 翼城县| 嘉峪关市| 登封市| 龙门县| 酒泉市| 师宗县| 遵义市| 大英县| 茌平县| 左权县| 南昌县| 宣城市| 安新县| 祁连县| 汝南县| 隆德县| 南江县| 三河市| 六安市| 五原县| 通州市| 大城县| 龙井市| 赣榆县| 故城县| 合作市| 盐城市| 平阴县| 定襄县| 合江县| 梓潼县| 门源| 湖口县| 闽清县| 武鸣县| 上林县| 金阳县| 枝江市| 奉贤区| 额敏县| 平昌县| 莱芜市| 额济纳旗| 藁城市| 保定市| 来宾市| 子洲县| 普陀区| 达州市| 太保市| 漯河市| 弋阳县| 麻江县| 正宁县| 汉中市| 诸暨市| 罗田县| 德保县| 乐亭县| 泾源县| 江陵县| 高碑店市| 岳阳市| 和田市| 鹿泉市| 新昌县| 老河口市| 托克托县| 溧水县| 大埔县| 洛阳市| 洮南市| 双鸭山市| 民乐县| 通道| 谢通门县| 江川县|